Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 902.901556 1031.046608 1177.727764 1359.568576 1581.070242 1844.909114 2.187210e+03
2024-10-20 707.775093 865.607887 1064.343230 1338.518494 1716.190927 2232.873809 3.021096e+03
2024-10-27 595.214781 756.974405 972.277826 1289.241554 1761.423703 2470.495219 3.686066e+03
2024-11-03 545.240522 717.768212 959.111511 1336.377823 1942.149835 2940.670082 4.877565e+03
2024-11-10 502.606029 680.400557 939.471828 1365.458971 2095.611926 3405.347040 6.266268e+03
2024-11-17 468.401530 649.592972 923.196163 1393.883546 2250.606332 3916.732649 8.020404e+03
2024-11-24 429.408792 606.519915 881.360191 1371.154294 2306.545019 4251.478197 9.570727e+03
2024-12-01 405.225595 583.241483 867.415768 1393.053721 2450.361043 4819.006128 1.214601e+04
2024-12-08 387.341452 567.750515 863.810175 1432.062281 2637.043372 5557.122794 1.592464e+04
2024-12-15 366.300169 544.908548 844.711552 1438.114631 2754.179684 6171.480258 1.997326e+04
2024-12-22 342.806019 515.849380 811.485789 1411.060196 2789.817601 6581.092427 2.372713e+04
2024-12-29 329.432867 502.676964 805.101306 1437.171132 2958.404965 7464.261598 3.128424e+04
2025-01-05 306.495875 472.571151 767.215504 1397.291717 2968.266536 7906.356644 3.773544e+04
2025-01-12 287.693846 448.472802 738.657088 1374.607337 3022.443049 8558.853251 4.779788e+04
2025-01-19 267.709759 420.636618 700.104295 1323.672512 2986.335716 8864.034943 5.632445e+04
2025-01-26 260.734583 415.575329 705.007531 1372.494861 3250.258489 10575.621588 8.859309e+04
2025-02-02 252.312192 407.114076 702.177736 1402.640105 3470.219084 12315.639326 1.388154e+05
2025-02-09 244.464595 399.058798 699.257593 1432.109369 3700.363009 14370.821459 2.308694e+05
2025-02-16 232.485208 382.312916 676.729694 1408.543889 3745.250564 15471.824754 3.280437e+05
2025-02-23 225.429086 374.491098 672.250037 1431.248979 3964.421803 17946.878443 6.146376e+05
2025-03-02 220.253744 369.916827 674.240219 1471.703539 4268.567875 21532.365427 1.511382e+06
2025-03-09 212.804688 360.340040 664.372713 1477.981479 4443.326489 24485.109870 3.752695e+06
2025-03-16 203.416591 346.322214 643.454390 1449.921211 4467.490351 26214.195575 8.394468e+06